Sea ice edge

 

Key challenge: Climate change

How will ocean biogeochemical cycles respond to future climate change?

 

The seas and oceans are fundamental to sustaining life on Earth. They modulate climate and weather, storing and cycling over 90% of the Earth’s carbon dioxide and capturing over 90% of the increase in the Earth’s heat content in the last few decades. They are also thought to play a major role in climate via the uptake and release of climate-active gases, thus modifying the chemistry of the atmosphere.

 

Climate models predict that changes in the Earth's climate will continue to rise through the next hundred years with the extent of change largely dependent on future greenhouse gas emissions. Public awareness of climate change effects has largely been centred on changing sea-levels and global warming, but it is increasingly evident that, as atmospheric carbon dioxide dissolves in the ocean, it will become more acidic with potentially serious consequences for marine life.

 

PML scientists are active in describing the extent of marine climate change; they have access to world-class remote imaging and some of the best long-term biological and physical data sets in existence. When linked to oceanographic and climatic models this gives PML scientists a strong basis for predicting the future marine climate and the biological properties of animals and plants living within our changing oceans. In particular, PML has developed a strong expertise in forecasting the potential impact of an increase in ocean acidification and has been invited to disseminate these findings to colleagues and policy makers worldwide.


Relevant projects

  • Atlantic Meridional Transect (AMT)
    The Atlantic Meridional Transect is a multidisciplinary programme, co-ordinated by PML, which undertakes biological, chemical and physical oceanographic research during an annual voyage between the UK and destinations in the South Atlantic, a distance of up to 13,500km. This transect crosses a range of ecosystems from sub-polar to tropical and from euphotic shelf seas and upwelling systems to oligotrophic mid-ocean gyres.
  • Western Channel Observatory (WCO)
    The Western Channel Observatory is an oceanographic time-series and marine biodiversity reference site in the Western English Channel that has been operating for over a century and is currently maintained by PML.
  • European Project on OCean Acidification (EPOCA)
    The goal of the EPOCA project is to advance our understanding of the biological, ecological, biogeochemical, and societal implications of ocean acidification.  EPOCA aims to document the changes in ocean chemistry and biogeography across space and time and to determine the sensitivity of marine organisms, communities and ecosystems to ocean acidification.
  • Surface Ocean Lower Atmosphere Study (SOLAS) ICON cruise
    The aim of the upwelling cruise, SOLAS-ICON, was to determine the hydrodynamics of an upwelling plume off the NW African coast, in order to characterise its impact upon the physical, photochemical and microbiological processes contributing to ocean-atmosphere exchange of biogenic gases.
  • Surface Ocean Lower Atmosphere Study (SOLAS) Investigation of the Near Surface Production of Iodocarbons: Rates and Exchanges (INSPIRE) cruise
    The INSPIRE cruise focused on the tropical Atlantic (around Cape Verde), studying the production of trace gases that contain iodine.  A combination of water column sampling and incubation studies were carried out in order to measure iodocarbon concentrations in the water and determine the amount being emitted to the atmosphere. 
  • UK Ocean Acidification Research Programme (UKOARP)
    The 5 year UK Ocean Acidification Research Programme is the UK’s response to growing concerns over ocean acidification. The programme aims to; reduce uncertainties in predictions of carbonate chemistry changes and their effects on the marine environment; understand the responses to ocean acidification by marine organisms, biodiversity and ecosystems and to improve understanding of their resistance or susceptibility to acidification; and provide data and effective advice to policy makers and managers of marine bioresources.
  • European Space Agency Ocean Colour Climate Change Initiative
    The ESA Climate Change Initiative aims to use Earth observation to help generate Essential Climate Variables (such as ozone content, snow cover, fire disturbance and ocean salinity) for our planet in a bid to unlock the complexities of climate change.
  • Marine e-Data Observatory Network (MeDON)
    MeDON aims to develop, test and disseminate a new concept of coastal monitoring based on a network of innovative real-time cabled marine observatories, and is orientated towards end users. Cabled seafloor observatories are an emerging technology capable of providing an effective platform for real-time and high-resolution monitoring.